Well, we've had one user fail in the contest already, but I'm suspecting a few submissions to start popping up. Before any of us see anything, I'd like to see what what people think'll happen. Who will win? Will Ford ever get his lazy arse to write a storygame? Other than Ford, will anybody else not submit anything? Will there be any surprises?
Since it would be rather rude to just ask questions, I'll give my two cents as well.
I don't see a clear front runner. My storygame has been plagued with too many re-writes, and the only user who I "feared", Malk, quit. If I had to make a bet, I'd say something different such as Cres (since Steve would be annoyed). Either that, or one of our more prolific writers will suddenly join and win.
Ford won't publish a storygame or at least one that survives the ratings. I'm guessing only 60% of us will submit a storygame in time.
As for surprises, there will be a late entry. I don't think there will be much more chaos after Temp kicked the bucket.
Anyway, what are your thoughts?
Going by past entries I'd say you'll win. Maybe Orange.
You're a math major, right? ... Your calculations of win probability would cause a grown statistician to cry about the future of the human species. Thankfully I'm not a statistician, but just HOW are your win probabilities totalling 505%?! By definition, the sum total should be 100% You aren't even using Bayesian probability, because THAT is totalling at 273.2%
For an example of why this is such a transgression of logic, this is the equivalent of saying last July that your expectations of who'll win the presidency are Bernie 60% Hillary 50% Trump 40% Ted 10%. It just doesn't add up correctly (it exceeds 100%). (Assuming the ratio of confidence in those candidates is correct, those percentages should be 37.5%, 31.25%, 25%, and 6.25% respectively)
I believe the appropriate phrase for your skill level would be 'I can't even'
^ Yeah I don't get it too. Especially the Ford part.
Often, the unpredictable ones are the surprising ones.
Well, Ford'll win the mini-challenge merely by publishing something, unless it's so dogshit that it's deemed "Worse than nothing". He could probably shine up the old demo he was working with using chaos-flavored polish and an entirely different premise and not be banned at this point as long as it's a self-contained story.
Oh, well then he's fucked. It's just added disgrace if he publishes nothing, though, since nothing is the exact same thing that T-Count published, so he'd be a filthy plagiarist with no hope of getting his account returned.
What will be funny is if Ford wins the mini-contest and all those points only to get himself banned for losing the entire contest.
Poor Ford, he doesn't have a proper grasp of statistics nor, given enough time, an account named Ford.
jep has the most to gain I think if he wins. He basically bet 500 points he didn't even have.
True, he'll be even deeper in the hole if he loses, but if he wins he should be a lot better off than he ever was before.
T-Count should still win if Ford publishes nothing. He did publish nothing first, so he gets the points for originality. It's truly the Fordiest way to lose a contest, it's practically fated to happen.
Shitty Math on Winning Chances (including Submission Probabilities) in %
*Everyone has a chance of winning, but those who might as well not are striked out. (Meaning, most would not consider them competition—mostly based on writing skills.)
**PM me if you have any additional information on the contestants. Pls. I needs to knows. :3
If the mods allow it I'll bet 100 points on Ford winning the contest.
lock -_- Why are people betting on other people's efforts these days? E: o wait this has been happening for a while now.
I think the members here are developing a gambling problem.
1. Receives commendation from one of the Founders.
2. Says "commendations are worthless"
Actually, 2 would be "brags a lot."
Quite honestly, the most entertaining outcome is if Ford won. That would be pretty great for a bunch of reasons.
March's chosen would be victor; a symbol of the power and knowledge of the admins.
He probably hasn't done very much as of now, so if he did win, it would toss the work of people who've been working all month right back on their faces.
An Architect would take the contest and finally win us some glory.
An underdog win is always entertaining.
Nothing really against the other contestants, but I'm hoping Ford manages to actually accomplish something amazing here, so I'm backing Ford for this contest:
I feel like the only 'good' way to end this post (after 2 seconds of thought) is to say, " Don't let me down Ford," or something like that. However, that doesn't seem like much incentive.
Therefore, don't let March down @Ford
Oh yeah. He's an Architect.
I also don't think it's a coincidence that March is an Architect. This is simply the Architects' rise to power ordained by a founder himself who designated Ford as the leader. So long as Ford can fulfill his role, then the Architects' ascension into power will have begun.
That is, if Ford can fulfill his role.
Oooh The stakes have risen. Ford bb u got dis.
I'm on my school google acct and every youtube vid you guys link to is always restricted
Click the link in google translate?
Copy the link, paste it in Google Translate on the actual GT webpage. Click the "Translated" link and go to the webpage, but click "Original" if you want to be able to actually read what's happening. That's what usually worked for me back when school gave a fuck about what we were accessing.
Doesn't work. T-T
I'd say Battlemage has a 100% chance of winning or losing. As a result I'm contemplating betting an additional 25 points that I'll lose the contest, thereby guaranteeing that I'll be one of few who make a winning bet. The cost of such a move would be minimal, since the 25 I put in to bet against myself will be returned upon submission and inevitable defeat.
Of course the odds of this post being entirely bullshit is 100%.
Lol yes that seems to be the fatal mistake of every arrogant antagonist.
Thanks for reminding me.
I'm sorry; I started laughing at the "happily" and "End" part. It's been an emotionally deficit morning. T_T Also, it's not that his devilish side is getting the better of him, I think. It's just soaking in all its godly powers. Yeah, betting accounts is a bit overboard. :( Though I wouldn't say Ford is a writer at all, but what do I know?
How I picture End during this entire contest, especially when someone makes a new bet/form of bet
Seems about right. xD Darnit lol. I'm in class.
Don't you mean "End during his entire adminhood"?
This mental image of End as Landa was too good not to run with, even if Berka was the one doing this rather than End...
"Cat-chief Wolfsplash, wat we r aboat 2 diskus wood bett3r b diskussed in priv8. U'll notice, I hav left my men outdoors. If it would not offind you, perhaps it wood be best that you encurridged ur 'School Friends' outside..."
"You r rite. Charfur, wood you taek teh girls outside? Endstar and I need to have a few wurds."
"Cat-Chief Wolfsplash, I regret to infurm u that I hav egzaustid teh extent of my faggit-speak. To cuntinyew 2 tawk lik a Warrir Cat wood only serv 2 embeariss me. However, I'v ben led 2 beleeve that u speek a proper, non-bastardizd form of langwaj?"
"Oh, yeh, Inglish."
"Well, it just so happens, I do 2. I ask ur permission 2 switch 2 Inglish fur teh rest uf de confursashin?"
"Cat-Chief Wolfsplash, while I am very aware of your ilk, I have no way of knowing if you are familiar with who I am. Are you aware of my existence?"
"...No, but I'm reading the thread now..."
"This is good. So you're aware of the job I've been ordered to carry out in Cystia?"
"Can you please tell me what you've read?"
"I've been told that 3J put you in charge of rounding up the remaining Warrior Cats stories left in Cystia who are either hiding in sneak-peek, or passing them off as talking wolves."
"The Fuhrer couldn't have said it better himself!"
"But the meaning of your visit, though pleasant, is mysterious to me... The Admins searched my page 9 months ago for hiding Warriors, and found nothing."
"I'm aware of that, I read the report on this area, but like any enterprise when under new management, there's a slight duplication of efforts. Most of it ends up being a complete waste of time, but needs to be done nevertheless. I just have a few questions, Cat-Chief Wolfsplash, if you can assist me with answers, my department can close the file on your family."
*This is the part where he pulls out the suitcase and the fountain pen.*
"Now, before the inspection of this area, there were four warrior cat stories, all written by retards like yourself. Is this correct?"
"To my knowledge, yes, some of the fans were retards... End, would you mind if I smoked my pipe?"
"Please, Cat-Chief Wolfsplash. It is your disgusting feline hovel, make yourself comfortable!"
"Now, according to these papers, all of the story-writing retards in this area have been accounted for... Except, it seems, for Shelleyes, who seemed to be an alt. What have you heard of Shelleyes, Cat-Chief Wolfsplash?"
"Oh, I love rumors! Facts can be so boring, while rumors, true or false, always provide me with luls! So tell me, Cat-Chief Wolfsplash, what have you heard about Shelleyes? Speak freely! I want to hear what the rumors are, not who told them to you."
"Again, this is just a rumor, but we heard that Shelleyes was an alt of T-Count..."
"So the rumors you heard have been of trolling?"
"Were you two... Friendly?"
*This is the part where the camera goes under the floorboards to reveal a dead alt and a pile of shitty Warrior Cat drawings.*
"Well, I guess that should do it. However, before I go, do you have another glass of T-Count's delicious salt?"
"But of course."
"Cat-Chief Wolfsplash, are you aware of what they call me?"
"I have no interest in such things..."
"But you are aware of what they call me?"
"What are you aware of?"
"That they call you 'The All-Banner'."
"Precisely! Now I understand your trepidation in repeating it. Before he was assassinated, Bad Mod Kiel hated the moniker that the good people of BHBosa bestowed upon him. Actually, why he would hate the name 'The Pussy' is baffling to me. It seems like he did everything in his power to earn it. I, however, love my unofficial title precisely because I've earned it.
The feature that makes me so effective at hunting retards, as opposed to the other Mods, is because I can't really empathise with a retard, whereas they can only think like a Mod, and are encouraged to regard everyone as equally cognitive citizens. If I were to determine what features we Mods share with other internet denizens, it would be the animosity and dedication of the 4channer.
The Trolls, given their facial features, penis size and ability to fight with higher beings alone, would be most like the CoGites. The WC fans, however, are the most like Wattpadder. 3J and Beta's Propaganda have said much the same thing, but unlike them, I don't consider the comparison an insult. Consider, for a moment, the world that a Wattpad lives in. If a Wattpad 'Writer' arrived on your doorstep, would you greet it with hostility?"
"I suppose I would..."
"Has a Wattpadder ever actually done something that you feel would have it deserve such animosity?"
"They spread cancer. They write cringy shit..."
"Unless some fool is stupid enough to venture into stories not publically reccommended, the cancer stays well-contained on their dark corner of the internet, and they generally don't bother us here. Of course, there was the terrible fact that there is so much cancer, but there's just about as much on Fanfiction.net, and you don't share the same animosity with them, do you?"
"I guess not. I mean, that's where I came from..."
"Explains a lot. Anyhow, they're rather alike still, aren't they? What is the real difference?"
"It's an interesting thought, Mod End..."
"However, interesting as the thought may be, if a Wattpadder were to scamper through your door right now, would you offer it a saucer of your delicious salt?"
"I guess not."
"Precisely. You don't like them. It's clearly established why you don't like them, and you find them repulsive.
What a tremendously hostile world the Warrior Cat must live in, yet, not only do they endure, they continue to subsist and be killed! And the reason they do this, is because they have a lack of self preservation instincts, and an oppression complex that is second to none. And that, Cat-Chief, is what a WC story shares with a Wattpadder... It'd be better if they all just went there anyhow.
Consequently, a Mod conducts a search of a house suspected of hiding WC stories... Where does the Mod look? In the barns, in the cellar, in the attic. He looks everywhere he would hide. But there are many places it would never occur to him to hide. However, the reason 3J brought me off my throne in the forums to random, obscure profiles of random lurkers, is because it does occur to me. Because I'm aware of what tremendous feats inhuman beings can accomplish when they realise that they never had any dignity in the first place.
May I smoke my pipe as well?"
"Please, Endmaster, make yourself at home."
"Fuck it, this joke is way past its prime by now. Berka, get in here and shoot this dumbass, we already know he's writing WC stories!"
Dude I can't even understand what they're saying. Was this really how WC stories were?
Do I get points for reading this entire thing in the proper voices?
Dude! I went to the laundromat the other day and they had a computer there, so I checked my e-mail n' stuff, and when I was typing into the search bar, there was that little roll down thing that said stuff that'd been searched before, right? The thingy said chooseyourstory warrior cats. I shivered. A past offender had been there before.
So I burned the place down.
Holy meow. Are you sure that's not just the normal search thing? It appears for me too.
Pics are different here... but click on the link
It appears to be everywhere...
Cheap way to earn points? (Was about to say money.) Well, not that it matters if you fail to fulfill your own (real) bets. :3 Are you really going to try and write something for the contest? I'll have to edit the winning chances and all that.
I actually believe betting my account helped me. I would've given up due to writer's block and rewrites a while ago if it wasn't for my fondness for WIBN.
Unless your Seto*
Quite honestly, a Viral Pornography Network is one of the worst things you can use.
I think it's more of a slap on the wrist for T-Count (Who lived up to his name) and Ford (Who has a billion alts) but in Wibbon's case, he actually has some stories to his name so it would be a bit more serious.
Generally we still refer to her as female since despite her best efforts, she did imply it once in a past thread. However, since it's still a "mystery" sometimes the male pronouns occasionally get used.
Probably is a dude, but who knows in this day and age.